What the Polls Say, and What the Polls Don't Say

Is polling any more trustworthy than reporting generally?

There’s an interesting thing which has just happened in the US Presidential polls, and I think it connects to wider questions about trust in an age of lies.

In the latest polling, every single major polling company and organisation has Queen Kamala and Trump tied, or even Queen K slightly ahead.

Except for one.

Rasmussen has Trump at 62% and Kamala at 35%.

So all the others say even, and Rasmussen says Trump has a huge lead. A giant 27% lead. So what we are seeing here is an outlier, right? The majority of polls must be right and Rasmussen has got it wildly wrong.

No.